Investment, Macroeconomic Stability and Growth: The Latin American Experience
Keywords:
economic growth, factor accumulation, terms of trade, black market premium, investment rate, macroeconomic stabilityAbstract
The purpose of this paper is to explore the role of factor accumulation, economic policies, and economic and political uncertainties on growth performance of Latin American countries in the last three decades. We extend the work of Corbo and Rojas (1992) in two directions suggested by recent work in this area. First, we extend the model by considering terms of trade effects and an additional measure of distortion, the black market premium. Second, we provide further evidence of the channels through which economic policies affect growth by endogenizing the investment rate. The main conclusions are that the terms of trade affect growth directly, and indirectly through its effect in the investment rate; the black market premium is more a measure of macroeconomic instability than of the degree of oppenness; and stability of economic policies can affect growth directly through the law of motion for growth and indirectly through investment rates.Downloads
References
Balassa, B. (1985). Exports, policy choices, and economic growth in developing countries after the 1973 oil shock. Journal of Development Economics, 18(1), 23–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(85)90004-5
Barro, R. J. (1990). Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 103–125.
Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic growth in a cross section of countries. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407–443. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943
Barro, R. J., & Wolf, H. C. (1989). Data appendix for economic growth in a cross-section of countries [Mimeo]. Harvard University.
Becker, G. S., Murphy, K. M., & Tamura, R. (1990). Human capital, fertility, and economic growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), S12–S37. https://doi.org/10.1086/261723
Cardoso, E. (1990). Macroeconomic environment and capital formation in Latin America [Mimeo]. Tufts University.
Cardoso, E., & Fishlow, A. (1989). Latin American economic development: 1950-1980 (NBER Working Paper Series N.º 3161). National Bureau of Economic Research.
Corbo, V., & Fischer, S. (1992). Adjustment programs and bank support: Rationale and main results. In V. Corbo, S. Fischer, & S. B. Webb (Eds.), Adjustment lending revisited: Policies to restore growth. World Bank.
Corbo, V., & Rojas, P. (1992, agosto). Crecimiento económico de América Latina. Cuadernos de Economía, (87).
De Gregorio, J. (1992). Economic growth in Latin America. Journal of Development Economics, 39(1), 59–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(92)90057-g
De Long, B., & Summers, L. (1991). Equipment investment and economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 445–502.
De Melo, J., & Robinson, S. (1989). Productivity and externalities: Models of export-led growth. World Bank.
Dervis, K., & Petri, P. (1987). The macroeconomics of successful development: What are the lessons? NBER Macroeconomics Annual.
Díaz-Alejandro, C. F. (1976). Foreign trade regimes and economic development: Colombia. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Dollar, D. (1990). Outward-oriented developing economies really do grow more rapidly: Evidence from 95 LDCs, 1976-85. World Bank.
Dornbusch, R. (1990). The new classical macroeconomics and stabilization policy. American Economic Review, 80(2), 143–147.
Dornbusch, R. (1992). The case for trade liberalization in developing countries. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 6(1), 69–85. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.6.1.69
Easterly, W. R. (1990a). Endogenous growth in developing countries with government induced distortions [Mimeo]. World Bank.
Easterly, W. R. (1990b). How does growth begin? Models of endogenous development [Mimeo]. World Bank.
Easterly, W. R., & Wetzel, D. L. (1989). Policy determinants of growth: Survey of theory and evidence (World Bank PPR Working Paper N.º 343). World Bank.
ECLAC. (1993). Panorama económico de América Latina.
Feder, G. (1983). On exports and economic growth. Journal of Development Economics, 12(1-2), 59–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(83)90031-7
Fischer, S. (1991). Growth, macroeconomics, and development. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991. MIT Press.
Fischer, S. (1992, agosto). Macroeconomic stability and growth. Cuadernos de Economía, (29).
Gelb, A. (1989). A cross-section analysis of financial policies, efficiency and growth [Mimeo]. World Bank.
Grier, K. B., & Tullock, G. (1989). An empirical analysis of cross-national economic growth, 1951-80. Journal of Monetary Economics, 24(2), 259–276. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(89)90006-8
Grossman, G., & Helpman, E. (1992). Innovation and growth in the global economy. MIT Press.
Krueger, A. O. (1978). Liberalization attempts and consequences. Ballinger for the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Levine, R., & Renelt, D. (1991). Cross-country studies of growth and policies: Methodological, conceptual, and statistical problems (PRE Working Paper Series N.º 608). The World Bank.
Levine, R., & Renelt, D. (1992). A sensitivity analysis of cross-country growth regressions. American Economic Review, 82(4), 942–963.
Little, I. A. (1982). Economic development: Theory, policy and international relations. Basic Books.
Lucas, R. E., Jr. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22(1), 3–42. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(88)90168-7
Nishimizu, M., & Page, J., Jr. (1990). Trade policy, market orientation, and productivity change in industry. In J. De Melo & A. Spair (Eds.), Trade theory and economic reform: North, South, and East. Basil Blackwell.
Pindyck, R. S., & Solimano, A. (1993). Economic instability and aggregate investment [Mimeo].
Rebelo, S. (1992). Growth in open economies. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 36, 5–46. https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2231(92)90014-a
Renelt, D. (1991). Economic growth: A review of the theoretical and empirical literature (PRE Working Paper Series N.º 678). The World Bank.
Rodrik, D. (1991). Policy uncertainty and private investment in developing countries. Journal of Development Economics, 36(2), 229–242. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(91)90034-s
Romer, P. (1986). Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94(5), 1002–1037. https://doi.org/10.1086/261420
Romer, P. (1989). Human capital and growth: Theory and evidence (NBER Working Paper N.º 3173). National Bureau of Economic Research.
Romer, P. (1992). Two strategies for economic development: Using ideas vs. producing ideas [Ponencia]. World Bank Annual Conference on Development Economics.
Serven, L., & Solimano, A. (1992a). Private investment and macroeconomic adjustment: A survey. World Bank Research Observer, 7(1), 95–114. https://doi.org/10.1093/wbro/7.1.95
Serven, L., & Solimano, A. (1992b). Economic adjustment and investment performance in developing countries: The experience of the 1980s. In V. Corbo, S. Fischer, & S. B. Webb (Eds.), Adjustment lending revisited: Policies to restore growth. World Bank.
Solimano, A. (1989). How private investment reacts to changing macroeconomic conditions: The case of Chile in the eighties (World Bank Working Paper N.º WPS 212). World Bank.
Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513
Summers, R., & Heston, A. (1991). The Penn World Table (Mark 5): An expanded set of international comparisons, 1950-1988. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 327–368. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937941
White, H. (1980). A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica, 48(4), 817–838. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912934
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 1993 Vittorio Corbo, Patricio Rojas

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Article usage
- ViewsTimes this article's page was opened since the journal started recording statistics. One person can visit more than once.
- 173
- DownloadsTimes the full text of this article (usually the PDF) was opened or downloaded.
- 240
All time, as recorded by the journal.
Last 2 years: 70 views, 134 downloads.
1.39 downloads per view (journal average 1.65).Downloads of the full text for every abstract view of this article, compared with the whole journal.
Explore the journal's metrics