An Analysis of the Volatility of the Chilean Sovereign Bond

Authors

Keywords:

value at risk, liquidity risk, sovereign bond, bid-ask spread, Chile

Abstract

International capital market integration together with increasing international volatility, requires an accurate evaluation of the potential losses that portfolio managers may face as a result of international turbulence. Assets with high liquidity standards can be evaluated by the traditional Value at Risk approach (VaR), however, this statistic underestimates the true value of the potential losses when the instrument is not liquid. This paper applies the methodology of liquidity adjusted VaR to the Chilean sovereign bond by incorporating bid-ask spread fluctuations when evaluating a portfolio risk.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

Christian A. Johnson, Banco Central de Chile

División de Estudios. Banco Central de Chile

References

Bangia, A., Diebold, F., Schuermann, T., & Stroughair, J. (1998). Modeling liquidity risk: With implications for traditional market risk measurement and management. Manuscrito Oliver, Wyman & Co.-NYU, diciembre.

Bangia, A., Diebold, F., Schuermann, T., & Stroughair, J. (1999). Liquidity on the outside. Risk Magazine, Vol, 12, 68–73.

Glosten, L. R., & Milgrom, P. R. (1985). Bid, ask and transaction prices in a specialist market with heterogeneously informed traders. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 71–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(85)90044-3

Grossman, S. J., & Miller, M. H. (1988). Liquidity and market structure. The Journal of Finance, 43(3), 617–633. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1988.tb04594.x

Hamilton, J. D. (1994). Time Series analysis. Princeton University Press. https://doi.org/10.1515/9780691218632

Henstschel, L. (1995). All in the family: Nesting symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models. Journal of Financial Economics, N° 39, 71–104.

Hill, B. M. (1975). A simple general approach to inference about the tail of a distribution. The Annals of Statistics, 3(5), 1163–73. https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176343247

Huang, R. D., & Stoll, H. R. (1997). The components of the bid-Ask spread: A general approach. Review of Financial Studies, 10(4), 995–1034. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/10.4.995

Jarrow, R., & Subramanian, A. (1997). Mopping up liquidity. Risk Magazine, Vol, 10, 170–173.

Jarrow, R., & Subramanian, A. (1999). Liquidity discount. Manuscrito, Cornell University, julio.

Johnson, C. (2000). Métodos de evaluación del riesgo para portafolios de inversión. Documento de Trabajo N° 67, Banco Central de Chile, marzo.

Published

2001-04-30

How to Cite

Johnson, C. A. (2001). An Analysis of the Volatility of the Chilean Sovereign Bond. Economic Analysis Review, 16(1), 83–97. Retrieved from https://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/3

Issue

Section

Articles

Article usage

ViewsTimes this article's page was opened since the journal started recording statistics. One person can visit more than once.
156
DownloadsTimes the full text of this article (usually the PDF) was opened or downloaded.
245

All time, as recorded by the journal.

Last 2 years: 65 views, 96 downloads.

1.57 downloads per view (journal average 1.65).Downloads of the full text for every abstract view of this article, compared with the whole journal.

Explore the journal's metrics