Return’s Seasonalities in the Latibex Market

Authors

  • Jose Garcia Blandon Facultad de Economia, Institut Qu

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-88702010000100001

Keywords:

Calendar anomalies, LATIBEX market

Abstract

This paper investigates the most important calendar anomalies in a market that have received very little attention by researchers. The anomalies investigated are the day of the week, turn of the month, turn of the year, and holidays. The methodology we propose allows to simultaneously considerate all the mentioned anomalies through a single model. Although most of the empirical evidence reports calendar anomalies as accepted stylised facts of financial markets, a growing number of recent investigations find these anomalies weakening in most markets. Our results support this set of papers, since we do not report calendar anomalies in the LATIBEX indices. In addition, given the peculiarities of the LATIBEX market, our results also stress the importance of particular features of individual stock markets in the existence of calendar anomalies.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Aragó, V. (2003). Monthly seasonality of the returns and volatility of the IBEX-35 index and its futures contract. Applied Economics Letters, 10(3), 129–133. https://doi.org/10.1080/1350485022000041041

Ariel, R. A. (1987). A monthly effect in stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 18(1), 161–174. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(87)90066-3

Bessembinder, H., & Hertzel, M. G. (1993). Return autocorrelations around nontrading days. Review of Financial Studies, 6(1), 155–189. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/6.1.155

Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(86)90063-1

Bouman, S., & Jacobsen, B. (2002). The Halloween indicator, "Sell in May and go away": Another puzzle. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1618–1635. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282802762024683

Cáceres, R. M., Maroto, O., Jordán, L., & Rodríguez, A. (2006). Day of the week effect on European stock markets. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 2, 53–70.

Camino, D. (1997). Efectos intradía y día de la semana en la Bolsa de Madrid: Información y volumen de contratación [Intraday and day-of-the-week effects on the Madrid Stock Exchange: Information and trading volume]. Revista Española de Financiación y Contabilidad, 90, 51–75.

Chandra, M. (2006). The day-of-the-week effect in conditional correlation. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 27(3), 297–310. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-006-9433-8

Connolly, R. (1989). An examination of the robustness of the weekend effect. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 24(2), 133–169. https://doi.org/10.2307/2330769

Corredor, P., & Santamaría, R. (1996). El efecto día de la semana: Resultados sobre algunos mercados de valores europeos [The day-of-the-week effect: Results across some European stock markets]. Revista Española de Financiación y Contabilidad, 86, 235–252.

Coutts, J. A., & Sheikh, M. A. (2002). The anomalies that aren't there: The weekend, January and pre-holiday effects on the all gold index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Applied Financial Economics, 12(12), 863–871. https://doi.org/10.1080/09603100110052172

Fernández, P., & Yzaguirre, J. (1995). Ibex 35: Análisis e investigaciones [Ibex 35: Analysis and research]. Ediciones Internacionales Universitarias.

Fisher, L. (1966). Some new stock-market indexes. Journal of Business, 39(S1), 191–225. https://doi.org/10.1086/294848

French, K. (1980). Stock returns and the weekend effect. Journal of Financial Economics, 8(1), 55–69. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(80)90021-5

García, J. (2007). Return autocorrelation anomalies in two European stock markets. Revista de Análisis Económico, 22(1), 59–70.

García, J. (2008a). Return autocorrelation anomalies and the importance of non-trading periods: Evidence from Spain, France and Germany. Quantitative Finance, 8(4), 341–350.

García, J. (2008b). Rendimientos estacionales en la bolsa española: Importancia del tamaño de la empresa [Seasonal returns in the Spanish stock market: The importance of firm size]. Revista Española de Financiación y Contabilidad, 37, 527–540.

Hansen, P. R., & Lunde, A. (2005). A forecast comparison of volatility models: Does anything beat a GARCH(1,1)? Journal of Applied Econometrics, 20(7), 873–889.

Keim, D. B., & Stambaugh, R. F. (1984). A further investigation of the weekend effect in stock returns. Journal of Finance, 39(3), 819–835. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1984.tb03675.x

Lakonishok, J., & Smidt, S. (1988). Are seasonal anomalies real? A ninety-year perspective. Review of Financial Studies, 1(4), 403–425. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/1.4.403

Linn, S. C., & Lockwood, L. J. (1988). Short-term stock price patterns: NYSE, AMEX, OTC. Journal of Portfolio Management, 15(2), 30–34. https://doi.org/10.3905/jpm.1988.409139

Lucey, B., & Whelan, S. (2001). A promising strategy in equity markets. Journal of the Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland, 31, 74–110.

Makridakis, S., & Hibon, M. (2000). The M3-competition: Results, conclusions and implications. International Journal of Forecasting, 16(4), 451–476. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0169-2070(00)00057-1

Mandelbrot, B. (1963). The variation of certain speculative prices. Journal of Business, 36(4), 394–419. https://doi.org/10.1086/294632

Marhuenda, J. (1998). Estacionalidad de la prima por riesgo en el mercado de capitales español [Seasonality of the risk premium in the Spanish capital market]. Revista Española de Financiación y Contabilidad, 27(94), 13–36.

Maroto, A., Cáceres, R., Jordán, L., & Rodríguez, A. (2007). Estacionalidad en la rentabilidad y volatilidad de los títulos que cotizan en el Latibex [Seasonality in the returns and volatility of securities listed on Latibex]. Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía, 1(1), 84–95.

Marquering, W., Nisser, J., & Valla, T. (2006). Disappearing anomalies: A dynamic analysis of the persistence of anomalies. Applied Financial Economics, 16(4), 291–302. https://doi.org/10.1080/09603100500400361

Mehdian, S., & Perry, M. J. (2002). Anomalies in US equity markets: A re-examination of the January effect. Applied Financial Economics, 12(2), 141–145. https://doi.org/10.1080/09603100110088067

Meneu, V., & Pardo, A. (2004). Pre-holiday effect, large trades and small investor behaviour. Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(2), 231–246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2003.01.002

Moller, N., & Zilca, S. (2008). The evolution of the January effect. Journal of Banking & Finance, 32(3), 447–457. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.06.009

Rozeff, M. S., & Kinney, W. (1976). Capital market seasonality: The case of stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 379–402. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(76)90028-3

Santesmases, M. (1986). An investigation of the Spanish stock market seasonalities. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 13(2), 267–276. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5957.1986.tb00096.x

Singleton, J. C., & Wingender, J. R. (2003). The Monday effect: A disaggregation analysis. Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics, 42(3–4), 91–114.

Downloads

Published

2010-08-12

How to Cite

Garcia Blandon, J. (2010). Return’s Seasonalities in the Latibex Market. Economic Analysis Review, 25(1), 3–14. https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-88702010000100001

Issue

Section

Articles

Article usage

ViewsTimes this article's page was opened since the journal started recording statistics. One person can visit more than once.
190
DownloadsTimes the full text of this article (usually the PDF) was opened or downloaded.
307

All time, as recorded by the journal.

Last 2 years: 74 views, 162 downloads.

CitationsTimes other scholarly works cited this article, according to OpenAlex and Crossref. The two indexes cover different sources, so their counts differ. : OpenAlex 6 · Crossref 2

1.62 downloads per view (journal average 1.65).Downloads of the full text for every abstract view of this article, compared with the whole journal.

Explore the journal's metrics