Schooling investment in Mexico: Returns and risk
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-88702020000100001Keywords:
Schooling investment returns, real option value, choice under uncertaintyAbstract
To determine the convenience of investing in more years of education after graduating from high school, the aim is to analyze a scenario under uncertainty as well as the household valuation of risk given the US subprime bubble. By using real option value and expected utility the main results are: 1) The optimal choice is to invest in more years of education immediately after graduating from high school; 2) The expected utility of investing is higher for risk-averse households and 3) No important differences were found in the observed periods, except with the reduction in wages between 2009 and 2013.
Downloads
References
Banco de México. (2002). Tasa CETES a 28 días. México 2002-2016 [28-day CETES rate. Mexico 2002–2016] [Archivo de datos].
Banco de México. (2002). Tasa de inflación anual. México 2002-2016 [Annual inflation rate. Mexico 2002–2016] [Archivo de datos].
Banco Mundial. (s. f.). Porcentaje de desempleo del total de la fuerza laboral. México 2002-2016 [Unemployment as a percentage of the total labor force. Mexico 2002–2016] [Archivo de datos].
Becker, G. S. (1962). Investment in human capital: A theoretical analysis. The Journal of Political Economy, 70(5), 9–49. https://doi.org/10.1086/258724
Belzil, C., & Hansen, J. (2004). Earnings dispersion, risk aversion and education (IZA Discussion Paper N.º 513). IZA. https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/21428/1/dp513.pdf
Belzil, C., & Leonardi, M. (2007). Can risk aversion explain schooling attainments? Evidence from Italy. Labour Economics, 14(6), 957–970.
Blundell, R., Dearden, L., Meghir, C., & Sianesi, B. (1999). Human capital investment: The returns from education and training to the individual, the firm and the economy. Fiscal Studies, 20(1), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-5890.1999.tb00001.x
Bracho, T., & Zamudio, A. (1994). Los rendimientos económicos de la escolaridad en México, 1989 [The economic returns to schooling in Mexico, 1989]. Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época, 3(2), 345–377.
Calle-Fernández, A. M., & Tamayo-Bustamante, V. M. (2009). Decisiones de inversión a través de opciones reales [Investment decisions through real options]. Estudios Gerenciales, 25(111), 107–126. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0123-5923(09)70073-7
De Antonio, E. (2014). Allan Goodman, profesor del rey: En tiempos de crisis es más necesario invertir en educación [Allan Goodman, the king's professor: In times of crisis it is more necessary to invest in education]. RTVE. http://www.rtve.es/noticias/20141023/alan-goodman-profesor-del-reytiempos-crisis-mas-necesario-invertir-educacion/1034468.shtml
Delgado, C. (2014). ¿Vale la pena estudiar una carrera en México? [Is it worth studying for a degree in Mexico?]. Instituto Mexicano para la Competitividad. http://imco.org.mx/articulo_es/vale-la-pena-estudiar-una-carrera-en-mexico/
Engelbrecht, H. J. (2003). Human capital and economic growth: Cross-section evidence for OECD countries. The Economic Record, 79(SpecialIssue), 40–51. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-4932.00090
Griliches, Z. (1977). Estimating the returns to schooling: Some econometric problems. Econometrica, 45(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913285
Harberger, A. C., & Guillermo-Peón, S. (2012). Estimating private returns to education in Mexico. Latin American Journal of Economics, 49(1), 1–35. https://doi.org/10.7764/laje.49.1.1
Hwang, W., Liao, S., & Huang, M. (2013). Real option, human capital investment returns and higher educational policy. Economic Modelling, 31, 447–452. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.11.061
Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática. (2002). Encuesta Nacional de Empleo. México 2002 [National Employment Survey. Mexico 2002] [Archivo de datos].
Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática. (2002). Encuesta Nacional de Ingresos y Gastos de los Hogares. México 2002-2014 [National Household Income and Expenditure Survey. Mexico 2002–2014] [Archivo de datos].
Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática. (2006). Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo. México 2006, 2007, 2011, 2012 y 2016 [National Occupation and Employment Survey. Mexico 2006, 2007, 2011, 2012 and 2016] [Archivo de datos].
Lomelí-Vanegas, L., & Murayama-Rendón, C. (2009). México frente a la crisis: Hacia un nuevo curso de desarrollo [Mexico facing the crisis: Toward a new course of development]. Economía UNAM, 6(18), 7–60.
Loría, E., & Díaz, A. (2013). Dos crisis de la economía mexicana: 1995 y 2009. Un análisis dinámico de estado estacionario [Two crises of the Mexican economy: 1995 and 2009. A dynamic steady-state analysis]. Ciencia Ergo Sum, 20(1), 29–34.
Mascareñas, J. (1999). Opciones reales en la valoración de proyectos de inversión [Real options in the valuation of investment projects]. http://pendientedemigracion.ucm.es/info/jmas/mon/14.pdf
Mincer, J. (1974). Schooling, experience and earnings. National Bureau of Economic Research; Columbia University Press. http://econpapers.repec.org/bookchap/nbrnberbk/minc74-1.htm
Olaniyan, D. A., & Okemakinde, T. (2008). Human capital theory: Implications for educational development. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences, 5(5), 479–483.
Ordaz, J. L. (2007). México: Capital humano e ingresos. Retornos a la educación 1994-2005 [Mexico: Human capital and income. Returns to education 1994–2005] (Serie Estudios y Perspectivas México N.º 90). CEPAL.
Rojas, M., Angulo, H., & Velázquez, I. (2000). Rentabilidad de la inversión en capital humano en México [Returns on human capital investment in Mexico]. Economía Mexicana. Nueva Época, 9(2), 113–142.
Schultz, T. W. (1961). Investment in human capital. The American Economic Review, 51(1), 1–17.
Solow, R. (1957). Technical change and the aggregate production function. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(3), 312–320. https://doi.org/10.2307/1926047
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2020 Nadyra Rodriguez Arias, Julia Hirsch, Humberto Banda Ortiz

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Article usage
- ViewsTimes this article's page was opened since the journal started recording statistics. One person can visit more than once.
- 213
- DownloadsTimes the full text of this article (usually the PDF) was opened or downloaded.
- 181
All time, as recorded by the journal.
Among the top 6% by views · last 2 yearsCompared with all the journal's articles by views in the last 2 years, this one is among the top 6%.
Last 2 years: 196 views, 147 downloads.
CitationsTimes other scholarly works cited this article, according to OpenAlex and Crossref. The two indexes cover different sources, so their counts differ. : OpenAlex 1 · Crossref 0
0.85 downloads per view (journal average 1.65).Downloads of the full text for every abstract view of this article, compared with the whole journal.
Explore the journal's metrics
