Chile - South Korea FTA: extensive and intensive margins analysis

Felipe Munoz; Javiera Cáceres; Dorotea López

doi:10.4067/S0718-88702023000200073

Autores/as

Felipe Munoz Instituto de Estudios Internacionalesm, Universidad de Chile http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5084-3354
Javiera Cáceres Instituto de Estudios Internacionales, Universidad de Chile http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1138-3062
Dorotea López Instituto de Estudios Internacionales, Universidad de Chile http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4819-7351

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-88702023000200073

Palabras clave:

TLC, Chile, Corea del Sur, rendimiento exportador, PPML, márgenes extensivos e intensivos

Resumen

Este artículo analiza el impacto del Tratado de Libre Comercio entre Chile y Corea del Sur (CKFTA) respecto de los márgenes de comercio extensivos e intensivos. Usando datos desagregados a nivel de producto para el período 1996-2017, el artículo prueba el impacto del acuerdo en los flujos bilaterales, así como también diferencia estos efectos entre márgenes intensivos y extensivos a nivel de producto. Para estimar se propone un modelo de Pseudomáxima Verosimilitud de Poisson. Se encuentra que el CKFTA tuvo un efecto positivo en los flujos comerciales bilaterales, y aunque se agregaron nuevos productos a la canasta exportadora bilateral (margen extensivo), el impacto es más fuerte en los bienes ya comercializados (margen intensivo). Además, el artículo concluye que este efecto es más fuerte para las exportaciones chilenas.

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